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Silvia Vannutelli

Sciences Po, Northerwestern University
The value of information for regulatory enforcement
Joint with Elliott Ash, Maddalena Ronchi, and Elena Stella
Venue
Îlot Bernard du Bois - Amphithéâtre

AMU - AMSE
5-9 boulevard Maurice Bourdet
13001 Marseille

Date(s)
Monday, March 30 2026
11:30am to 12:45pm
Contact(s)

Ségal Le Guern Herry: segal.le-guern-herry[at]univ-amu.fr
Morgan Raux: morgan.raux[at]univ-amu.fr

Abstract

How does the quality of information affect the allocation of regulatory enforcement? We study this question in the context of the Italian Court of Auditors, a large bureaucracy that oversees municipal finances through a hierarchical structure. Local auditors gather information on municipalities and report to judges, who decide whether to issue enforcement deliberations. We exploit a reform that randomized auditor assignments, increasing auditor independence without changing judicial rules. Combining novel administrative records with a machine-learning measure of predicted municipal default, we find that judicial enforcement increased overall, with the largest gains in high-risk municipalities. This targeting improvement arises through two channels. First, auditors report more financial irregularities after random assignment, especially in high-risk municipalities and where pre-reform local ties were stronger. Second, experienced judges use these improved signals to focus deliberations on high-risk cases, highlighting the complementarity between information quality and decision-makers' expertise.