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VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//AMSE//Event Calendar//FR
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UID:event-10337@www.amse-aixmarseille.fr
DTSTAMP:20260422T163450Z
CREATED:20260422T163450Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260422T163450Z
STATUS:CONFIRMED
SEQUENCE:0
SUMMARY:amse seminar - Vincent Pons
DTSTART:20231002T093000Z
DTEND:20231002T104500Z
DESCRIPTION:In most national elections\, voters face a key choice between c
 ontinuity and change. Electoral turnovers occur when the incumbent candidat
 e or party fails to win reelection. To understand how turnovers affect nati
 onal outcomes\, we study the universe of presidential and parliamentary ele
 ctions held since 1945. We document the prevalence of turnovers over time a
 nd estimate their effects on economic performance\, trade\, human developme
 nt\, conflict\, and democracy. Using a close-elections regression discontin
 uity design (RDD) across countries\, we show that turnovers improve country
  performance. These effects are not driven by differences in the characteri
 stics of challengers\, or by the fact that challengers systematically incre
 ase the level of government intervention in the economy. Electing new leade
 rs leads to more policy change\, it improves governance\, and it reduces pe
 rceived corruption\, consistent with the expectation that recently elected 
 leaders exert more effort due to stronger reputation concerns.\\n\\nContact
 : Nicolas Clootens: nicolas.clootens[at]univ-amu.frRomain Ferrali: romain.f
 errali[at]univ-amu.fr\n\nPlus d'informations: https://www.amse-aixmarseille
 .fr/en/events/vincent-pons-0
LOCATION:Îlot Bernard du Bois - Amphithéâtre\, AMU - AMSE\, 5-9 boulevar
 d Maurice Bourdet\, 13001 Marseille
URL;VALUE=URI:https://www.amse-aixmarseille.fr/en/events/vincent-pons-0
CONTACT:Nicolas Clootens: nicolas.clootens[at]univ-amu.frRomain Ferrali: ro
 main.ferrali[at]univ-amu.fr
TRANSP:OPAQUE
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