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VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//AMSE//Event Calendar//FR
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UID:event-12364@www.amse-aixmarseille.fr
DTSTAMP:20260421T184048Z
CREATED:20260421T184048Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260421T184048Z
STATUS:CONFIRMED
SEQUENCE:0
SUMMARY:Economic theory seminar - Marina Agranov
DTSTART:20251212T110000Z
DTEND:20251212T120000Z
DESCRIPTION:We study how people think others update their beliefs upon enco
 untering new evidence. We find support for Martingale property: when two in
 dividuals share the same prior\, one believes that new evidence cannot syst
 ematically shift the other's beliefs in either direction. We also find that
  when the two have different priors\, people think that any information bri
 ngs others’ expected posteriors closer to their own prior\, but this adju
 stment is less responsive to information quality than theory predicts. We i
 dentify the primary cause of this insensitivity and discuss the implication
 s of our findings for strategic games with asymmetric information\, informa
 tion design\, and\, more broadly\, for understanding societal polarization.
 \\n\\nContact: Jiakun Zheng: jiakun.zheng[at]univ-amu.fr\n\nPlus d'informa
 tions: https://www.amse-aixmarseille.fr/en/events/marina-agranov-0
LOCATION:Îlot Bernard du Bois - Salle 17\, AMU - AMSE\, 5-9 boulevard Maur
 ice Bourdet\, 13001 Marseille
URL;VALUE=URI:https://www.amse-aixmarseille.fr/en/events/marina-agranov-0
CONTACT:Jiakun Zheng:&nbsp\;jiakun.zheng[at]univ-amu.fr
TRANSP:OPAQUE
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