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VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//AMSE//Event Calendar//FR
CALSCALE:GREGORIAN
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UID:event-10363@www.amse-aixmarseille.fr
DTSTAMP:20260422T175750Z
CREATED:20260422T175750Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260422T175750Z
STATUS:CONFIRMED
SEQUENCE:0
SUMMARY:phd seminar - Cédric Crofils
DTSTART:20231024T094500Z
DTEND:20231024T103000Z
DESCRIPTION:This paper studies the impact of weather variations on agricult
 ural production\, and how they may affect agricultural prices and price sta
 bility in a developing country. Using monthly data on agricultural producti
 on in Peru and daily weather data\, we estimate the potential impact of adv
 erse weather events to evaluate their effects on agricultural outcomes on a
  monthly basis. We further estimate the potential impact of these risks on 
 national inflation. A dynamic and stochastic general equilibrium model\, em
 phasizing the effects of weather events on agricultural producers\, complem
 ents this analysis to investigate the transmission channels. Preliminary re
 sults show non-linear responses of the agricultural prices to weather shock
 s\, depending on the crop and the timing of the shock. The results suggest 
 that negative shocks occurring during the growing season lead to higher pri
 ces\, which may contribute to temporary national inflationary pressures.\\n
 \\nContact: Lucie Giorgi : lucie.giorgi[at]univ-amu.frRicardo Guzman : rica
 rdo.guzman[at]univ-amu.frNatalia Labrador : natalia.labrador-bernate[at]un
 iv-amu.frNathan Vieira : nathan.vieira[at]univ-amu.fr\n\nPlus d'information
 s: https://www.amse-aixmarseille.fr/fr/evenements/c%C3%A9dric-crofils
LOCATION:Îlot Bernard du Bois - Amphithéâtre\, AMU - AMSE\, 5-9 boulevar
 d Maurice Bourdet\, 13001 Marseille
URL;VALUE=URI:https://www.amse-aixmarseille.fr/fr/evenements/c%C3%A9dric-crofils
CONTACT:Lucie Giorgi : lucie.giorgi[at]univ-amu.frRicardo Guzman : ricardo.
 guzman[at]univ-amu.frNatalia Labrador :&nbsp\;natalia.labrador-bernate[at]u
 niv-amu.frNathan Vieira : nathan.vieira[at]univ-amu.fr
TRANSP:OPAQUE
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