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PRODID:-//AMSE//Event Calendar//FR
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UID:event-11792@www.amse-aixmarseille.fr
DTSTAMP:20260422T131507Z
CREATED:20260422T131507Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260422T131507Z
STATUS:CONFIRMED
SEQUENCE:0
SUMMARY:amse seminar - Giuliana Pardelli
DTSTART:20250616T093000Z
DTEND:20250616T104500Z
DESCRIPTION:How do commodity booms influence political fragmentation in wea
 k-party\, clientelist regimes? Existing literature suggests resource windf
 alls typically empower incumbents by increasing voter support or facilitati
 ng patronage expansion. However\, I argue that in regimes where parties ar
 e weakly institutionalized and clientelist linkages predominate\, booms ins
 tead undermine incumbents and fuel fragmentation. Using Brazil’s First Re
 public (1889-1930) as a case\, I analyze eleven congressional elections ac
 ross eighteen autonomous state party systems. Employing a difference-in-dif
 ferences approach\, I find positive commodity price shocks decrease incumbe
 nt vote shares\, heighten fragmentation\, and enhance success rates for new
  parties. These effects are amplified in states with homogeneous export eco
 nomies\, as diverse economic interests strengthen existing party attachment
 s. District-level analysis confirms increased party proliferation in boom-a
 ffected areas\, while candidate-level data shows incumbent politicians are 
 more likely to seek reelection with new parties. This study highlights cond
 itions under which economic booms\, rather than busts\, destabilize elite c
 oalitions and reshape political institutions.\\n\\nContact: Nicolas Clooten
 s : nicolas.clootens[at]univ-amu.frRomain Ferrali : romain.ferrali[at]univ-
 amu.fr\n\nPlus d'informations: https://www.amse-aixmarseille.fr/fr/evenemen
 ts/giuliana-pardelli
LOCATION:Îlot Bernard du Bois - Amphithéâtre\, AMU - AMSE\, 5-9 boulevar
 d Maurice Bourdet\, 13001 Marseille
URL;VALUE=URI:https://www.amse-aixmarseille.fr/fr/evenements/giuliana-pardelli
CONTACT:Nicolas Clootens : nicolas.clootens[at]univ-amu.frRomain Ferrali : 
 romain.ferrali[at]univ-amu.fr
TRANSP:OPAQUE
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