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UID:event-7778@www.amse-aixmarseille.fr
DTSTAMP:20260415T223006Z
CREATED:20260415T223006Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20260415T223006Z
STATUS:CONFIRMED
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SUMMARY:job market seminar - Bruno Conte
DTSTART:20210201T103000Z
DTEND:20210201T114500Z
DESCRIPTION:This paper provides a spatial general equilibrium model to quan
 tify the impact of climate change on the economy and migration. The model c
 an capture the role of the transportation network and agricultural suitabil
 ity on the distribution of population and GDP accounting for endogenous adj
 ustments of crop choice and trade. I use detailed geospatial data from 42 c
 ountries in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) to simulate the impact of climate usin
 g forecasts of agricultural productivity in 2080. Climate change is estimat
 ed to displace 12 percent of the SSA population and reduce real GDP by 4 pe
 rcent. The capacity of switching crops\, urbanizing\, or trading goods is f
 ound to reduce the impact of climate change in terms of population outflows
 . Finally\, I find that the adoption of modern inputs in agriculture can re
 verse considerably the negative impacts of climate change.\n\nPlus d'inform
 ations: https://www.amse-aixmarseille.fr/fr/evenements/bruno-conte
URL;VALUE=URI:https://www.amse-aixmarseille.fr/fr/evenements/bruno-conte
TRANSP:OPAQUE
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