Allan Drazen

amse seminar

Allan Drazen

University of Maryland, College Park
Candidate dislikability, policy extremism, and negative advertising
Lieu

IBD Amphi

Îlot Bernard du Bois - Amphithéâtre

AMU - AMSE
5-9 boulevard Maurice Bourdet
13001 Marseille

Date(s)
Lundi 27 mai 2019| 14:30 - 15:45
Contact(s)

Sarah Flèche : sarah.fleche[at]univ-amu.fr
Agnès Tomini : agnes.tomini[at]univ-amu.fr

Résumé

In the 2016 U.S. presidential election a large number of voters appeared to be motivated tovote for one of the candidates by strong dislike of other candidate. Moreover, even if one candidate was preferred to the other in a relative sense, the relatively preferred candidate was seen as insufficiently attractive to induce voters to vote for her. We consider such voter alienation and how it induces extremism on the part of candidates who themselves have no ideological bent. We show that even if voters are polarized, voting simply on the basis ofrelative preference for candidates does not induce candidates to be extreme. In contrast,when alienation is an issue, voter polarization leads to equilibria where candidates take extreme positions on opposite sides of the policy spectrum. That is, voter alienation implies that strategies favoring the centrist median voter are no longer equilibria even if candidates are only o¢ce-motivated. We also consider campaign advertising and show that when candidates can choose positive versus negative advertising, the latter is necessary to support divergent extremist equilibria.

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