Cem Özgüzel

job market seminar
à distance

Cem Özgüzel

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
The cushioning effect of immigrant mobility
Lundi 17 janvier 2022| 11:30 - 12:45

Frédéric Deroïan : frederic.deroian[at]univ-amu.fr


During the Great Recession, immigrants reacted to the drop in labour demand in Spain through internal migration or leaving the country. Consequently, provinces lost 13.5% of their immigrants or - 3% of the total labour supply, on average. Using municipal registers and longitudinal administrative data, I find that immigrant outflows slowed the decline in employment and wage of natives. I use a modified shift-share instrument based on past settlements to claim causality. Employment effects were driven by increased entries to employment, while wage effects were limited to natives that were already employed. These effects also persisted in the medium-term.