Urbanisation and the Onset of Modern Economic GrowthJournal articleLiam Brunt and Cecilia Garcia-Peñalosa, The Economic Journal, Volume 132, Issue 642, pp. 512-545, 2022

A large literature characterises urbanisation as resulting from productivity growth attracting rural workers to cities. Incorporating economic geography elements into a growth model, we suggest that causation runs the other way: when rural workers move to cities, the resulting urbanisation produces technological change and productivity growth. Urban density leads to knowledge exchange and innovation, thus creating a positive feedback loop between city size and productivity that initiates sustained economic growth. This model is consistent with the fact that urbanisation rates in western Europe, most notably England, reached unprecedented levels by the mid-eighteenth century, the eve of the Industrial Revolution.

Beyond the Coronavirus Crisis: Investing for a Viable FutureReportTorben M. Andersen, Giuseppe Bertola, Clemens Fuest, Cecilia Garcia-Peñalosa, James Harold, Jan-Egbert Sturm and Branko Uroševic, Number 20, 2021

The 20th EEAG report, entitled “Beyond the Coronavirus Crisis: Investing for a Viable Future” has been released. Economists from Europe and the US are calling for changes to the Next Generation EU (NGEU) package to repair the damage caused by the coronavirus crisis.

Introduction March 2021 issueJournal articleFrank Cowell and Cecilia Garcia-Peñalosa, Journal of Economic Inequality, Volume 19, Issue 1, pp. 1-2, 2021
The changing nature of gender selection into employment over the great recessionJournal articleJuan J. Dolado, Cecilia Garcia-Peñalosa and Linas Tarasonis, Economic Policy, Volume 35, Issue 104, pp. 635-677, 2020

The Great Recession has strongly influenced employment patterns across skill and gender groups in EU countries. We analyse how these changes in workforce composition might distort comparisons of conventional measures of gender wage gaps via non-random selection of workers into EU labour markets. We document that male selection (traditionally disregarded) has become positive during the recession, particularly in Southern Europe. As for female selection (traditionally positive), our findings are twofold. Following an increase in the labour-force participation of less-skilled women, due to an added-worker effect, these biases declined in some countries where new female entrants were able to find jobs, whereas they went up in other countries which suffered large female employment losses. Finally, we document that most of these changes in selection patterns were reversed during the subsequent recovery phase, confirming their cyclical nature.

Gender and Promotions: Evidence from Academic Economists in FranceJournal articleClément Bosquet, Pierre-Philippe Combes and Cecilia Garcia-Peñalosa, Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Volume 121, Issue 3, pp. 1020-1053, 2019

The promotion system for French academic economists provides an interesting environment to examine the promotion gap between men and women. Promotions occur through national competitions for which we have information both on candidates and on those eligible to be candidates. Thus, we can examine the two stages of the process: application and success. Women are less likely to seek promotion, and this accounts for up to 76 percent of the promotion gap. Being a woman also reduces the probability of promotion conditional on applying, although the gender difference is not statistically significant. Our results highlight the importance of the decision to apply.

Inequality in Macroeconomic ModelsJournal articleCecilia Garcia-Peñalosa, Revue de l'OFCE, Volume 157, Issue 3, pp. 93-115, 2018

This articles focuses on the recent research efforts to incorporate income, wage and wealth inequality in macroeconomic models. I start by reviewing recent models on the impact of inequality on, on the one hand, long-run growth and, on the other, and macroeconomic fluctuations. The articles then reviews the literature concerned with the macroeconomic determinants of wage and wealth inequality. It concludes by discussing a number of possible avenues of research that seem to me particularly important, such as the impact of macroeconomic policy on distribution or the effect that firm size can have on both growth and wage inequality.

Top incomes, wealth and inheritance: special issue in homage to Tony AtkinsonJournal articleFacundo Alvaredo and Cecilia Garcia-Peñalosa, The Journal of Economic Inequality, Volume 16, Issue 2, pp. 131-136, 2018

No abstract is available for this item.

Constitutional rules as determinants of social infrastructureJournal articleTheo S. Eicher, Cecilia Garcia-Peñalosa and David J. Kuenzel, Journal of Macroeconomics, Volume 57, Issue C, pp. 182-209, 2018

A sizable literature has established the positive impact of social infrastructure on economic development, but the determinants of social infrastructure itself have yet to be fully explored. Competing theories suggest a variety of political institutions as driving forces of social infrastructure, but the empirical literature has been hampered by the small set of available proxies, many of which are broadly defined. We leverage a new, comprehensive dataset that codes political institutions directly from countries’ constitutions. By employing a statistical methodology that is designed to juxtapose candidate regressors associated with many competing theories, we test each individual political institution's effect on social infrastructure. Our results show that constitutional rules pertaining to executive constraints as well as to the structure of electoral systems are crucial for the development of high-quality social infrastructure. We also find that the determinants of social infrastructure are much more fundamental than previously thought: not only the general structure of electoral systems matter, but also highly detailed aspects such as limits on campaign contributions and the freedom to form parties. Moreover, the granularity of our data allows us to highlight the profound effect of basic human rights on social infrastructure, a dimension which has not been explored in the literature to date.

The long-term cost of protectionism for educationJournal articleVincent Bignon and Cecilia Garcia-Peñalosa, Rue de la Banque, Issue 47, pp. 5, 2017

The long-term costs of protectionism are difficult to evaluate as very few countries have switched back to this economic policy after a long period of free trade. One country that did make the move was France in 1892, when the Chamber of Deputies, encouraged by the president of the customs commission, Jules Méline, decided to sharply raise cereal import duties. This decision slowed the upwards trend in education levels as it made farming jobs more attractive than manufacturing jobs, thereby reducing the relative return on an education. These findings are consistent with the theory of unified growth which associates demand for education with technological improvement. They also suggest that educational progress is reversible.

Les inégalités dans les modèles macroéconomiquesJournal articleCecilia Garcia-Peñalosa, Revue de l'OFCE, Volume 153, Issue 4, pp. 105-131, 2017

Cet article s’intéresse aux inégalités de répartition des salaires et du patrimoine comme programme de recherche macroéconomique. Après un bref aperçu des modèles récents liant inégalités et croissance à long terme d’une part, et inégalités et fluctuations macroéconomiques d’autre part, nous passons en revue la littérature sur les facteurs macroéconomiques à l’origine des inégalités de répartition des salaires et du patrimoine. En guise de conclusion, nous proposons quelques pistes de recherches futures qui nous semblent importantes à mener telles que le rôle des politiques macroéconomiques sur la répartition ou encore celui de la taille des entreprises sur la croissance et leur contribution aux inégalités.