Ventelou

Publications

SIDA et croissance économique : le risque d'une « trappe épidémiologique »Journal articleNicolas Couderc, Nicolas Drouhin and Bruno Ventelou, Revue d'économie politique, Volume 116, Issue 5, pp. 697-715, 2006

The aim of this paper is to re-examine the consequences of AIDS on economic growth inAfrica.The model is based on two crucial hypothesis: i) AIDS has a short-term impact on a flow variable (the flow of labour available and capable of working at a moment t in the economy); ii) AIDS has a long-term impact on stock variables (human capital, i.e. the stock of health or the stock of education and competence incorporated in the workers; and physical capital). Integrating these two impacts in a model of growth with multiple factors of accumulation reverses the standard impact-evaluations based on classicaltools(Solow-typemodelofgrowth,with?catching-upeffect?asmechanismof development). An involution trap appears for a reasonable range of epidemiological shocks, corresponding to a modification of the long-term growth regime of the economy.

The Effects of Regional Sizing on GrowthJournal articleSantiago Lago-Peñas and Bruno Ventelou, Public Choice, Volume 127, Issue 3, pp. 407-427, 2006

In this paper, a micro-founded model dealing with the effects of regional sizing on economic growth is developed. Departing from bigger sizes, reduction involves more efficient public choices because of proximity to individual preferences and needs, but also creates the risk of underestimation of the real profitability of public expenditure by local governments due to cross border spillovers and “predator” behaviors. Hence the optimal size depends on the relative strength of both effects. Moreover, we show that different institutional arrangements between fiscal tiers involve different results for each possible size. Using data from the Spanish regions during the period 1984–1996, the relationship between productive spending and jurisdiction size is then analyzed. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media, Inc. 2006

Obesity, weight status and employability: Empirical evidence from a French national surveyJournal articleAlain Paraponaris, Berengere Saliba and Bruno Ventelou, Economics & Human Biology, Volume 3, Issue 2, pp. 241-258, 2005

No abstract is available for this item.

Federalism in an endogenous growth model with tax base sharing and heterogeneous education servicesJournal articleThierry Madiès and Bruno Ventelou, Papers in Regional Science, Volume 84, Issue 1, pp. 1-19, 2005

We examine the effects of tax base sharing on the growth path of an economy in which central and regional governments provide heterogeneous educational services (general and specific training) which increase capital productivity. Our focus is the non co-operative game between two overlapping governments - central and regional - whose objective is to maximise their net tax revenues of educational spending (Leviathan hypothesis). We will show that the dispute between centralisation and decentralisation depends on two effects; the first is a "tax effect", which supports centralisation in that tax base sharing leads to overtax the common tax base, and so has a negative effect on the growth path. Second is a "public good effect", which defends decentralisation because the very diversity of central and regional educational services has a beneficial effect on the growth path (educational services are imperfect substitutes and "specific assets" of each level of government). We discuss the virtue of tax base sharing in a federation, as an "incentive scheme" within government's grasp. Copyright RSAI 2005.

AIDS, Economic Growth and the Epidemic Trap in AfricaJournal articleNicolas Couderc and Bruno Ventelou, Oxford Development Studies, Volume 33, Issue 3-4, pp. 417-426, 2005

Most studies find that AIDS has a relatively weak impact on economic growth because they assume that it affects only one flow variable and only in the short term (the flow of labour available and capable of working at a time t in the economy). But AIDS also has a long-term impact on stock variables that existing models do not take into account, specifically, on both human and physical capital. Integrating these two impacts in a growth model with multiple accumulation factors reverses the findings of standard impact evaluations. A fairly wide range of epidemic effects modifies the economy's long-term growth regime, creating what we might call an epidemic or regressive “trap”. Government action should be designed in view of this risk and should intervene preferentially in favour of human capital, through health and educational spending. Finally, this model changes the cost-efficiency calculations about expanding antiretroviral therapies to a large part of the working population and indicates that such treatment is substantially more cost-efficient than initially thought.

Regionalization, public spending and growth: a stylized model dealing with 'predatory states'Journal articleElsa Duret and Bruno Ventelou, Economic Modelling, Volume 21, Issue 6, pp. 1039-1050, 2004

No abstract is available for this item.

Assurance maladie : Redéfinir le partage entre couverture obligatoire et complémentaire ?Journal articleBruno Ventelou and Christine Delvallée, Revue de l'OFCE, Volume 91, Issue 4, pp. 333-348, 2004

The article intends to evaluate the consequences of changing the mix between private and public health insurance in France, knowing that this evolution is induced de facto by the tendency of the French Social Security to opt for de-reimbursement policies. The analysis is built on a microeconomic representative database which authorises at the same time: macroeconomic assessment - how much to gain for public finances? - and microeconomic results: who is affected, who has been to be compensated and how much? The study shows that this strategy of reform should be complemented by, at least, two measures: compensation policies for elderly or unhealthy people without private health insurance; incitements for complementary insurance companies to take in charge the regulation of health services.

Assurance maladie : soins de court terme et traitement à long termeJournal articleGérard Cornilleau, Cyrille Hagneré and Bruno Ventelou, Revue de l'OFCE, Volume 91, Issue 4, pp. 269-332, 2004

Health spending as a share of GDP stands in France at the average level of industrial economies and much below than in the US. Recently, spending has rapidly accelerated leading to a rise in public health insurance accounts deficits. This paper analyses the factors behind these changes: ageing populations, rising incomes boosting the demand for high quality health care, medical progress. At the macro level the future increases in social contributions that will be needed to balance health accounts should be planned. But reforms are also needed at the micro level to improve the efficiency of the health care system. The reform decided in 2004 introduces some elements of managed care (computerised medical records; referent doctor in charge of care coordination) but does not alter the core structure of a system that performs well for the majority of the French.

Millennial Keynes: The Origins, Development and Future of Keynesian EconomicsBookBruno Ventelou and Gregory P. Nowell, 2004, 168 pages, M.E. Sharpe, 2004

Brand New Book. Millennial Keynes provides a concise grounding in the origins, development, and continuing significance of Keynesian economics. Section One presents the contributions of economists working before Keynes who would later have tremendous influence on him and his work, including Walras, Pigou, Marshall, Sraffa, and Fisher. Section Two introduces and analyzes Keynes own major works, such as the Treatise on Money, Treatise on Probability, and The General Theory. The book concludes by looking at the many differing interpretations of the significance of the Keynesian tradition upon economics as a discipline, and the schools of thought that have spawned these often-divergent interpretations. And it explains why these ongoing debates are likely to continue well into the next millennium

Aide au développement. Sommes-nous plus ou moins solidaires ?Journal articleBruno Ventelou and Guillaume Daudin, Revue de l'OFCE, Volume 85, Issue 2, pp. 297-310, 2003

This paper provides a summary of the recent evolution of development aid. First, it studies the global size of aid and some quality indicators: the proportion of untied aid, multilateral aid and grants in aid. The paper also explores the new types of aid linked to the concept of "world public goods": this concept has played recently an important role in legitimizing aid. The paper offers a new quality indicator for aid: its content in world public goods. From 1990 to 2001, it appears that even if the quantity of aid has declined following the end of the Cold War, its quality has increased irrespective of the measure selected. At the end of the paper we compare the quantity and quality of the foreign aid given by the US, Sweden and France in 1989 and 2001.