Adrien Tschopp*, Thomas Eisfeld**

Internal seminars
phd seminar

Adrien Tschopp*, Thomas Eisfeld**

HEC Lausanne*
Density Forecasts Network and Uncertainty*
Joint with
Pascal Seiler*

MEGA Salle Carine Nourry

MEGA - Salle Carine Nourry

Maison de l'économie et de la gestion d'Aix
424 chemin du viaduc
13080 Aix-en-Provence

Tuesday, May 28 2024| 11:00am to 12:30pm

Lucie Giorgi: lucie.giorgi[at]
Ricardo Guzman: ricardo.guzman[at]
Natalia Labrador: natalia.labrador-bernate[at]
Nathan Vieira: nathan.vieira[at]


*This paper examines density forecasts of real GDP growth from the European Central Bank’s Survey of Professional Forecasters. Instead of relying on point estimates, we employ density-based disagreement measures that compare the distribution of each forecast. This method captures the full spectrum of higher-order disagreement measures, providing a better understanding of forecasters' expectations.