Shekhar Tomar

Thematic seminars
Development and political economy seminar

Shekhar Tomar

Indian School of Business
Trumping Immigration: Visa Uncertainty and Jobs Relocation

MEGA Salle Carine Nourry

MEGA - Salle Carine Nourry

Maison de l'économie et de la gestion d'Aix
424 chemin du viaduc
13080 Aix-en-Provence

Friday, April 19 2024| 11:00am to 12:15pm

Timothée Demont: timothee.demont[at]
Habiba Djebbari: habiba.djebbari[at]


We estimate the impact of immigration policy uncertainty in the US on the demand for workers in the sending country. To do this, we exploit the increased uncertainty around H-1B visas after President Trump’s win in the 2016 Republican primary election. Using postings data from the largest Indian jobs platform, we find that firms more exposed to the shock increase their India-based job postings immediately after the heightened uncertainty. This surge is attributed to the relocation of jobs from the US to India for occupations more amenable to offshoring. India-headquartered firms lead this change and witness an increase in exports.